Moxie Indicator for ThinkorSwim

That's my new way to show trampolines since I'm using squeeze dots on the zero line. It needs more work, though. The arrow tips cover the squeeze dots if I position the arrows at 0. So I have to offset them a bit. Moxie's range is different on every symbol and every timeframe so if I hard code a specific offset sometimes it's perfect, sometimes not enough and sometimes way too much. So, I changed it to calculate the offset dynamically. It's working better but still needs some tweaking.
What does the trampoline show?
 

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Hi does anyone have mobile version of the moxie indicator script ?
I never tried it on mobile until a week ago. I found it doesn't plot anything. Neither does the real Moxie code from Simpler Trading. I suspect accessing secondary timeframes may not be allowed on mobile but I haven't looked into it.

What I found that does work is the non-repainting version of Moxie I wrote earlier in this thread. It's not exactly Moxie. More like an approximation. The multicolored plot doesn't seem to work so I set it to light blue in the study settings. That looks correct but there's still traces of green and red garbage in the study's box, which is weird. I hardly use mobile and I'll probably never trade from it. I mostly just use it to check on my existing positions. So I don't have plans to put more effort into it.

Another option, and what I primarily use for charts on mobile is TradingView. For just charts, I prefer their mobile experience. I found that the Moxie study on that platform does work fine on mobile. It's called MoxieArrows or something like that but the name is misleading. It's the lower study and there's no arrows.
 
@tradegeek IMO, I would just move on. Never buy an indicator. Find a system that works for you and keep working it. There are many hundred of them on this website to research. Start in the Tutorials as well as Look at the built in Strategies.

Code:
# Moxie_PriceChannel_Adjustable
# Built on 5/11/20
# For use on a All Time Frames

input channelLength = 34;
input averageType = AverageType.EXPONENTIAL;
input PriceChannel_Aggregation = AggregationPeriod.FIFTEEN_MIN;
input Moxie_highestAggregation = AggregationPeriod.TEN_MIN;
input Moxie_lowestAggregation = AggregationPeriod.FIVE_MIN;

def MovAvg_H = MovingAverage(averageType, high, channelLength);
def MovAvg_C = MovingAverage(averageType, close, channelLength);
def MovAvg_L = MovingAverage(averageType, low, channelLength);

def MovAvg_H1x = (MovAvg_H - MovAvg_L) + MovAvg_H;
def MovAvg_L1x = MovAvg_L - (MovAvg_H - MovAvg_L);

# HTF_Ergodic Momentum ----------------------------------------------
def diff = close(period=PriceChannel_Aggregation) - close(period=PriceChannel_Aggregation)[1];
def TSI  = (ExpAverage(ExpAverage(diff, 32), 5)) / (ExpAverage(ExpAverage(AbsValue(diff), 32), 5)) * 100;
def Signal = ExpAverage(TSI, 5);
def Momentum = TSI - Signal;
def LHMult = If (.01 <> 0, (1 / 0.01), 0);
def TSVBlues = If (Momentum >= 0, Momentum, 0);
def TSVMomentum_Pos = TSVBlues * LHMult;
def TSVReds = If (Momentum < 0, Momentum, 0);
def TSVMomentum_Neg = TSVReds * LHMult;

# HTF ERGODIC Price Channel Momentum Indicator ----------------------------------------
plot PC_H = MovAvg_H;
plot PC_L = MovAvg_L;

PC_H.DefineColor("SlopeUp", CreateColor(0, 153, 0)); #createColor(0,153,0)); GREEN
PC_H.DefineColor("NoSlope", Color.GRAY);
PC_H.DefineColor("SlopeDown", Color.RED);
PC_H.AssignValueColor(if TSVmomentum_Pos then PC_H.Color("SlopeUp") else if TSVmomentum_Neg then PC_L.Color("SlopeDown") else PC_H.Color("NoSlope"));
PC_H.SetLineWeight(2);
PC_H.HideBubble();

PC_L.DefineColor("SlopeUp", CreateColor(0, 153, 0));#createColor(0,153,0)); GREEN
PC_L.DefineColor("NoSlope", Color.GRAY);
PC_L.DefineColor("SlopeDown", Color.RED);
PC_L.AssignValueColor(if TSVmomentum_Pos then PC_L.Color("SlopeUp") else if TSVmomentum_Neg then PC_L.Color("SlopeDown") else PC_L.Color("NoSlope"));
PC_L.SetLineWeight(2);
PC_L.HideBubble();

# MOXIE - This section is for the medium term MACD ---------------------------------------------
def midTermFastAvg = ExpAverage(close(period = Moxie_lowestAggregation), 12);
def midTermSlowAvg = ExpAverage(close(period = Moxie_lowestAggregation), 26);
def midTermValue = midTermFastAvg - midTermSlowAvg;
def midTermAvg = ExpAverage(midTermValue, 9);
def midTermDiff = (midTermValue - midTermAvg)*3;

# MOXIE - This section is for the long term MACD -----------------------------------------------
def longTermFastAvg = ExpAverage(close(period = Moxie_highestAggregation), 12);
def longTermSlowAvg = ExpAverage(close(period = Moxie_highestAggregation) , 26);
def longTermValue = longTermFastAvg - longTermSlowAvg;
def longTermAvg = ExpAverage(longTermValue, 9);
def longTermDiff = (longTermValue - longTermAvg)*3;

# Signal Criteria -----------------------------------------------------------------------
def midTermLower = midTermDiff < 0 and midTermDiff < midTermDiff[1];
def midTermHigher = midTermDiff > 0 and midTermDiff > midTermDiff[1];

def longTermLower = longTermDiff < 0 and longTermDiff < longTermDiff[1];
def longTermHigher = longTermDiff > 0 and longTermDiff > longTermDiff[1];

#########################################################################
plot BuySignal = if midTermHigher and LongTermHigher then MovAvg_L1x else Double.NaN;
BuySignal.SetDefaultColor (Color.White); #(CreateColor(0, 153, 0));
BuySignal.SetPaintingStrategy(PaintingStrategy.POINTS);
BuySignal.SetLineWeight(2);
BuySignal.HideBubble();
BuySignal.HideTitle();

plot SellSignal = if midTermLower and LongTermLower then MovAvg_H1x else Double.NaN;
SellSignal.SetDefaultColor(Color.White);
SellSignal.SetPaintingStrategy(PaintingStrategy.POINTS);
SellSignal.SetLineWeight(2);
SellSignal.HideBubble();
SellSignal.HideTitle();

# Cloud Fill -----------------------------
AddCloud(MovAvg_H, MovAvg_L, Color.LIGHT_GRAY);

alert (close>BuySignal,"ChannelDotup", alert.bar,Sound.ding);
alert (close<SellSignal,"ChannelDotdown", alert.bar,Sound.ding);

#alert (close>BuySignal,"ChannelDotup", alert.once,Sound.ding);
#alert (close<SellSignal,"ChannelDotdown", alert.once,Sound.ding);
How do you use this indicator and what settings? Does it also have a lower indicator.
 
Does the Moxie indicator work on tick charts?

I doubt it. The official Moxie version and its clone might draw the plots but they're from so high a higher timeframe that they'd be irrelevant for you. The other version I created, which calculates a multiple on the current time frame instead of using a higher timeframe -- the one people in this thread call the "smooth" version -- may be useful to you but you may need to tune the multiple to be relevant on your timeframe.

It's worth noting that Moxie is just MACD's histogram from a higher timeframe drawn as a line. So you could also test with looking at MACD on a higher timeframe chart to see if it's useful to you.
 
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The guy who created Moxie says if Moxie is above zero and price closes below SMA 50 then price should bounce. He calls it the trampoline setup. The inverse also applies for shorting.

This should be taken with a big grain of salt, by the way. Taken alone, I see this fail constantly. I want to do more back testing with it but it doesn't look good on its own. TG seems to use it as an additional reason to take a trade that meets the core Moxie setup criteria. Not as an alternative to the core Moxie setup.
 
Moxie Mastery Final Review -- 16 out of 48 trades were winners (mostly small)
Coin flipping has a higher win rate.

I canceled my subscription a couple of weeks ago and it will end in less than 2 weeks. It started Feb 22. Even with reduced sizing, in my nearly 3 months in Moxie Mastery I lost almost all I had gained day trading in Jan and Feb. My final opinion is that the indicator and strategy seem fine. They seem to have profitable results when the rules are followed. The alert service is a money wasting distraction, though I am more comfortable with the strategy than I was when I started.

The alert service is not good in sideways or down-trending markets. He had a great H2 2020 when every name was going up. He had a great time after the election in Nov through Feb when things liberals like to spend money on were going up. Since then his alerts have been consistently losing. He cannot trade this market.

The main problem with the alert service is that TG Watkins is not comfortable going short, has a fear of shorting, has admitted repeatedly that shorting just doesn't work for him so he doesn't try it much. Therefore, he has a permanent long bias. He uses a reversal pattern on the hourly chart, which seems to work fine in up-trend continuation, to get into long positions in down-trending stocks which quickly continue downward. He does this while the Moxie indicator, which is a momentum indicator, never shows any hint of reduced selling on the daily chart. He's going long on stocks in which Moxie is well below zero and hasn't shown any green in more than 2 months.

In addition to constantly going long in down-trending stocks, many of his alerts break the rules of his own strategy. If you watch his videos from the last year or two you'll hear him repeatedly say "don't trade the X," meaning when price crosses above the hourly 50 SMA don't immediately go long but instead wait for it to retest the 50 SMA and confirm it as support, then go long. His alerts very often do not wait for the retest and when the retest happens and fails, price continues lower and he gets stopped out or he alerts an early exit before getting stopped out.

Up until late April he was lazy and complacent, trading the same stocks that gave him gains in Nov-Feb. Electric vehicles, green energy, marijuana, block chain. Almost all of those stocks have been in multiple-month downtrends and are back to where they were before that run started. While he was alerting losing trades in those, I found winning trades using his strategy in BA, EBAY, FB and other names. I voiced my displeasure with him alerting rule-breaking entries which became a bigger/longer negative conversation than I intended it to be when some of his apostles attacked me for criticizing their idol. While that blew up bigger than I intended, and I felt a little sorry for TG, it did serve to wake him up to stop looking at the same list of stocks, do some scanning, realize which sectors were moving and get a fresh perspective. He also took the rules more seriously, which I let him know I appreciated, but that only lasted for a few days and he was back to alerting rule-breaking trades.

Here's the evidence to back up my conclusion

Since I joined the Moxie Mastery alert service, TG Watkins alerted 48 trades. Of those 48, 16 were winners. Almost all of those winners were small. The average time in a trade was 4.6 calendar days. The cumulative return was -56% if all the trades were taken with equal sizing but you can see from the data below they were not. The average return was -1%. These are based on his entries and exits. Yours would be worse.

These stats are based on the spreadsheet he maintains as part of the Mastery service which has his entry and exit prices. These prices are almost always better than the prices you'll get since he alerts after he already executed the trades in the many accounts he's managing for himself and his father and sister. He enters all of his trades for the day, in all the accounts, then writes up a summary of why he took a trade, with screen shots of the charts, then posts an alert. Then writes the next summary with screen shot and posts an alert. Rinse repeat with a few minutes between each. Sometimes the alert comes an hour after he entered. You almost always end up with a worse entry price even if you're fast enough to beat the others in the room into the stock. Depending on other volume, these alerts sometimes cause a pop and the slower you are to get in the worse your price will be. On exits, he's already out before he sends the alert.

Date OpenNameDirectionEntryStopSizeStatusDate ClosedExitWinDaysGain%
5/5/2021FBShort$316.37$321.205%Closed5/6/2021$318.8501($2.48)-1%
4/29/2021BLNKLong$37.90$35.855%Closed4/30/2021$38.1311$0.231%
4/29/2021GNRCLong$335.90$319.505%Closed4/30/2021$324.0011($11.90)-4%
4/29/2021RBLXLong$76.85$72.7010%Closed4/30/2021$75.1401($1.71)-2%
4/29/2021TKATLong$37.90$35.852.50%Closed4/30/2021$36.1201($1.78)-5%
4/27/2021YALALong$23.86$22.005%Closed4/29/2021$22.0002($1.86)-8%
4/26/2021FSRLong$14.18$13.2010%Closed4/27/2021$13.5601($0.62)-4%
4/26/2021NVAXLong$220.17$203.653%Closed4/27/2021$259.8201$39.6518%
4/26/2021NVAXLong$220.17$225.0010%Closed4/30/2021$242.5014$22.3310%
4/26/2021ROKULong$363.70$345.6510%Closed4/30/2021$345.6514($18.05)-5%
4/26/2021SNAPLong$60.09$57.005%Closed4/30/2021$62.1804$2.093%
4/23/2021AMCLong$10.20$9.272.50%Closed4/30/2021$10.0017($0.20)-2%
4/23/2021MOMOLong$14.96$14.482.50%Closed4/30/2021$14.4807($0.48)-3%
4/23/2021SNAPLong$59.93$57.005%Closed4/30/2021$62.1807$2.254%
4/23/2021UAVSLong$5.72$5.085%Closed4/30/2021$5.8617$0.142%
4/14/2021FUTULong$150.35$141.752.50%Closed4/15/2021$145.7811($4.57)-3%
4/14/2021GNRCLong$333.00$322.805%Closed4/15/2021$326.2301($6.77)-2%
4/14/2021TNALong$92.89$88.305%Closed4/15/2021$92.0501($0.84)-1%
4/13/2021OUTLong$22.73$21.832.50%Closed4/15/2021$23.2802$0.552%
4/6/2021CCIVLong$24.76$21.655%Closed4/8/2021$22.9212($1.84)-7%
4/6/2021SPCELong$30.75$27.905%Closed4/8/2021$28.6802($2.07)-7%
4/5/2021DNNLong$1.28$1.062.50%Closed4/12/2021$1.0607($0.22)-17%
4/5/2021GNRCLong$326.05$304.505%Closed4/12/2021$323.5207($2.53)-1%
4/5/2021MVISLong$15.51$12.905%Closed4/12/2021$13.6607($1.85)-12%
4/5/2021RIOTLong$56.94$48.005%Closed4/8/2021$48.0903($8.85)-16%
4/5/2021UAVSLong$7.12$5.955%Closed4/12/2021$6.1307($0.99)-14%
3/30/2021FUBOLong$22.04$20.552.50%Closed4/1/2021$23.4102$1.376%
3/30/2021FUBOLong$22.04$20.552.50%Closed4/8/2021$20.5519($1.49)-7%
3/30/2021NNDMLong$8.34$7.802.50%Closed4/8/2021$7.8009($0.54)-6%
3/17/2021MARALong$41.68$34.755%Closed3/22/2021$41.2005($0.48)-1%
3/17/2021NIOLong$44.63$40.905%Closed3/18/2021$41.7101($2.92)-7%
3/17/2021QSLong$59.76$53.8010%Closed3/18/2021$56.4001($3.36)-6%
3/17/2021SKLZLong$29.20$25.6010%Closed3/18/2021$26.1201($3.08)-11%
3/17/2021SNDLLong$1.56$1.285%Closed3/22/2021$1.3605($0.20)-13%
3/17/2021SPCELong$33.69$30.205%Closed3/18/2021$31.8701($1.82)-5%
3/12/2021ANGILong$16.03$15.107%Closed3/23/2021$16.41011$0.382%
3/10/2021COMMLong$15.29$14.302%Closed3/11/2021$16.7011$1.419%
3/10/2021COMMLong$15.29$15.003%Closed3/23/2021$15.14113($0.15)-1%
3/10/2021KOSSLong$29.65$21.002.50%Closed3/11/2021$25.5201($4.13)-14%
3/9/2021AILong$85.16$79.115%Closed3/18/2021$79.1109($6.05)-7%
3/9/2021CCIVLong$24.22$20.805%Closed3/12/2021$27.2003$2.9812%
3/9/2021GNUSLong$1.84$1.845%Closed3/26/2021$2.53117$0.6938%
3/9/2021RKTLong$25.89$24.105%Closed3/18/2021$24.1019($1.79)-7%
3/9/2021SOSLong$6.30$5.8010%Closed3/22/2021$7.26013$0.9615%
3/8/2021BBBYLong$30.93$28.005%Closed3/10/2021$30.0512($0.88)-3%
3/8/2021OSTKLong$60.48$53.655%Closed3/10/2021$68.5802$8.1013%
3/8/2021WLong$306.79$292.0010%Closed3/23/2021$339.04115$32.2511%
3/3/2021MACLong$13.70$13.005%Closed3/4/2021$13.2211($0.48)-4%
 
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Going forward

I don't have any plans for additional shareable Moxie-related code at this time. There have been requests in another thread for Moxie watchlist columns but I don't have a use for that based on vanilla Moxie rules. I don't even have the clone of official Moxie on my charts any more except the 15m chart. I doubt I'll create a watchlist column for regular Moxie any time soon due to my lack of interest and other priorities.

I'll trade the vanilla Moxie strategy when I see the setup. It seems to work when the rules are followed. I'm working on a non-repainting and more objective strategy to replace this. First I'm working on scripts to visualize and eyeball-test the strategy and then I'll work on a back-test script to really test and optimize it.

I did a little back-testing on Trampolines and I want to do more to see if I can make that strategy profitable separate from the main Moxie strategy.

I noticed TG Watkins mainly focuses on the H chart. Moxie on the H chart is MACD histogram of D chart. Personally, I prefer to focus on D. I've added a Moxie-style indicator to my D chart that uses the D timeframe so it's just a Moxie visual style of MACD histogram without any other timeframe. I have some ideas to back-test based on that combined with the non-repainting approximation of Moxie I posted earlier in this thread.

Separate from those, I want to test using the Moxie-style MACD histogram as the momentum indicator for squeezes. My early impression is that it will probably work better than TTM_Squeeze/SqueezePro histogram and probably better than using the standard Momentum indicator squeeze's histogram is derived from.

Separate from all that, I have another script that gives me up/down arrows when price breaks through and closes beyond a bunch of common dynamic resistances (ema, sma, ichimoku, etc.) while still at the beginning of a move. It looks like it'll work great in trend continuation though it fails in choppy markets. I plan to tweak that further and then write back-test scripts for that. Moxie isn't involved in that one.

Due to all the back-testing I want to do, I'm thinking of creating a back-testing template script, complete with optional stop loss, optional share sizing, optional price target based on multiples of risk. Then for all the tests after that I just need to code the setup and trigger. If I create that template I'll probably share it on this site.
 
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Going forward

I don't have any plans for additional shareable Moxie-related code at this time. There have been requests in another thread for Moxie watchlist columns but I don't have a use for that based on vanilla Moxie rules. I don't even have the clone of official Moxie on my charts any more except the 15m chart. I doubt I'll create a watchlist column for regular Moxie any time soon due to my lack of interest and other priorities.

I'll trade the vanilla Moxie strategy when I see the setup. It seems to work when the rules are followed. I'm working on a non-repainting and more objective strategy to replace this. First I'm working on scripts to visualize and eyeball-test the strategy and then I'll work on a back-test script to really test and optimize it.

I did a little back-testing on Trampolines and I want to do more to see if I can make that strategy profitable separate from the main Moxie strategy.

I noticed TG Watkins mainly focuses on the H chart. Moxie on the H chart is MACD histogram of D chart. Personally, I prefer to focus on D. I've added a Moxie-style indicator to my D chart that uses the D timeframe so it's just a Moxie visual style of MACD histogram without any other timeframe. I have some ideas to back-test based on that combined with the non-repainting approximation of Moxie I posted earlier in this thread.

Separate from those, I want to test using the Moxie-style MACD histogram as the momentum indicator for squeezes. My early impression is that it will probably work better than TTM_Squeeze/SqueezePro histogram and probably better than using the standard Momentum indicator squeeze's histogram is derived from.

Separate from all that, I have another script that gives me up/down arrows when price breaks through and closes beyond a bunch of common dynamic resistances (ema, sma, ichimoku, etc.) while still at the beginning of a move. It looks like it'll work great in trend continuation though it fails in choppy markets. I plan to tweak that further and then write back-test scripts for that. Moxie isn't involved in that one.

Due to all the back-testing I want to do, I'm thinking of creating a back-testing template script, complete with optional stop loss, optional share sizing, optional price target based on multiples of risk. Then for all the tests after that I just need to code the setup and trigger. If I create that template I'll probably share it on this site.
Thank you for the detailed information. Love to see what you finish sir.
 
Figured I would share this modified version of the Moxie Salty port.

WHLuRqQ.png



Code:
#START OF Moxie Salty Port for ThinkOrSwim
#
#CHANGELOG
# 2020.10.26 V1.1 @cos251 - Changed Colors; added transition signals (could be interpreted as buy/sell);
#                   - added input for aggperiod to allow use to customize or overlay more than one instance of indicator
#                   - for MTF style
# 2020.10.02 V1.0 @diazlaz Initial Port Release
#                 Request @madpuri
#
#CREDITS
# markmiotke
#
#LINK
# https://www.tradingview.com/script/mssQsys9-Moxie-Arrows-Salty/
#
#USAGE
#

declare lower;
input showCloud = no;
input aggPeriod = AggregationPeriod.Min;

# Calculate MOXIE Salty Signal
# Moxie Salty Version Script
script Moxie {
    input priceC = close;
    def vc1 = ExpAverage(priceC , 12) - ExpAverage(priceC , 26);
    def va1 = ExpAverage(vc1, 9);
    plot sData = (vc1 - va1) * 3;
}

def priceMoxie = close(period = aggPeriod);
def s2 = Moxie(priceMoxie);
rec moxieFT = CompoundValue(1, 0.5 * (Log((1 + s2) / (1 - s2)) + moxieFT[1]), 0);

plot MoxiePlot = s2; # Plot InverseFT Moxie
MoxiePlot.SetPaintingStrategy(PaintingStrategy.LINE);
MoxiePlot.DefineColor("Positive and Up", Color.MAGENTA);
MoxiePlot.DefineColor("Positive and Down", Color.PLUM);
MoxiePlot.DefineColor("Negative and Down", Color.DARK_ORANGE);
MoxiePlot.DefineColor("Negative and Up", Color.YELLOW);
MoxiePlot.AssignValueColor(if s2 >= 0 then if s2 > s2[1] then MoxiePlot.color("Positive and Up") else MoxiePlot.color("Positive and Down") else if s2 < s2[1] then MoxiePlot.color("Negative and Down") else MoxiePlot.color("Negative and Up"));

# plot zero line
plot zero = 0;


# Plot Up and Down Signals
plot moxieUpArrow = if (Sign (s2 - s2[1]) > Sign (s2[1] - s2[2])) then s2[1] else Double.NaN;
plot moxieDownArrow = if (Sign (s2 - s2[1]) < Sign (s2[1] - s2[2])) then s2[1] else Double.NaN;
moxieUpArrow.SetPaintingStrategy(PaintingStrategy.ARROW_UP);
moxieUpArrow.SetDefaultColor(Color.GREEN);
moxieUpArrow.SetLineWeight(1);
moxieDownArrow.SetPaintingStrategy(PaintingStrategy.ARROW_DOWN);
moxieDownArrow.SetDefaultColor(Color.RED);
moxieDownArrow.SetLineWeight(1);

AddCloud(zero, MoxiePlot, Color.CYAN,Color.YELLOW);
in second part is that a alternate of RAF if so can I get the thinkScipt for it. Thanks
 
I don't know if anyone has come across this neat indicator called the "Moxie Indicator". It seems the creator of this indicator has it developed for Ninjatrader and Thinkorswim but he's not releasing the TOS version because he doesn't want the code shared. He has partnered up with John Carter from SimplerTrading to provide alerts based on this indicator.

You can check it out here...

It would be nice if something like this can be replicated. I am not a programmer so I wouldn't know where to start. Can it be reversed engineered from a NinjaTrader script?

Much success to all!

Edit #1: @diazlaz converted a TradingView script that mimicked the Moxie script: https://usethinkscript.com/threads/moxie-indicator-for-thinkorswim.369/post-36862

Edit #2: Check out @Slippage version of the Moxie Indicator here: https://usethinkscript.com/threads/moxie-indicator-for-thinkorswim.369/post-53789

Edit #3: @Slippage reviews of the paid Moxie indicator https://usethinkscript.com/threads/moxie-indicator-for-thinkorswim.369/post-53751
 
Moxie Mastery Final Review -- 16 out of 48 trades were winners (mostly small)
Coin flipping has a higher win rate.

I canceled my subscription a couple of weeks ago and it will end in less than 2 weeks. It started Feb 22. Even with reduced sizing, in my nearly 3 months in Moxie Mastery I lost almost all I had gained day trading in Jan and Feb. My final opinion is that the indicator and strategy seem fine. They seem to have profitable results when the rules are followed. The alert service is a money wasting distraction, though I am more comfortable with the strategy than I was when I started.

The alert service is not good in sideways or down-trending markets. He had a great H2 2020 when every name was going up. He had a great time after the election in Nov through Feb when things liberals like to spend money on were going up. Since then his alerts have been consistently losing. He cannot trade this market.

The main problem with the alert service is that TG Watkins is not comfortable going short, has a fear of shorting, has admitted repeatedly that shorting just doesn't work for him so he doesn't try it much. Therefore, he has a permanent long bias. He uses a reversal pattern on the hourly chart, which seems to work fine in up-trend continuation, to get into long positions in down-trending stocks which quickly continue downward. He does this while the Moxie indicator, which is a momentum indicator, never shows any hint of reduced selling on the daily chart. He's going long on stocks in which Moxie is well below zero and hasn't shown any green in more than 2 months.

In addition to constantly going long in down-trending stocks, many of his alerts break the rules of his own strategy. If you watch his videos from the last year or two you'll hear him repeatedly say "don't trade the X," meaning when price crosses above the hourly 50 SMA don't immediately go long but instead wait for it to retest the 50 SMA and confirm it as support, then go long. His alerts very often do not wait for the retest and when the retest happens and fails, price continues lower and he gets stopped out or he alerts an early exit before getting stopped out.

Up until late April he was lazy and complacent, trading the same stocks that gave him gains in Nov-Feb. Electric vehicles, green energy, marijuana, block chain. Almost all of those stocks have been in multiple-month downtrends and are back to where they were before that run started. While he was alerting losing trades in those, I found winning trades using his strategy in BA, EBAY, FB and other names. I voiced my displeasure with him alerting rule-breaking entries which became a bigger/longer negative conversation than I intended it to be when some of his apostles attacked me for criticizing their idol. While that blew up bigger than I intended, and I felt a little sorry for TG, it did serve to wake him up to stop looking at the same list of stocks, do some scanning, realize which sectors were moving and get a fresh perspective. He also took the rules more seriously, which I let him know I appreciated, but that only lasted for a few days and he was back to alerting rule-breaking trades.

Here's the evidence to back up my conclusion

Since I joined the Moxie Mastery alert service, TG Watkins alerted 48 trades. Of those 48, 16 were winners. Almost all of those winners were small. The average time in a trade was 4.6 calendar days. The cumulative return was -56% if all the trades were taken with equal sizing but you can see from the data below they were not. The average return was -1%. These are based on his entries and exits. Yours would be worse.

These stats are based on the spreadsheet he maintains as part of the Mastery service which has his entry and exit prices. These prices are almost always better than the prices you'll get since he alerts after he already executed the trades in the many accounts he's managing for himself and his father and sister. He enters all of his trades for the day, in all the accounts, then writes up a summary of why he took a trade, with screen shots of the charts, then posts an alert. Then writes the next summary with screen shot and posts an alert. Rinse repeat with a few minutes between each. Sometimes the alert comes an hour after he entered. You almost always end up with a worse entry price even if you're fast enough to beat the others in the room into the stock. Depending on other volume, these alerts sometimes cause a pop and the slower you are to get in the worse your price will be. On exits, he's already out before he sends the alert.

Date OpenNameDirectionEntryStopSizeStatusDate ClosedExitWinDaysGain%
5/5/2021FBShort$316.37$321.205%Closed5/6/2021$318.8501($2.48)-1%
4/29/2021BLNKLong$37.90$35.855%Closed4/30/2021$38.1311$0.231%
4/29/2021GNRCLong$335.90$319.505%Closed4/30/2021$324.0011($11.90)-4%
4/29/2021RBLXLong$76.85$72.7010%Closed4/30/2021$75.1401($1.71)-2%
4/29/2021TKATLong$37.90$35.852.50%Closed4/30/2021$36.1201($1.78)-5%
4/27/2021YALALong$23.86$22.005%Closed4/29/2021$22.0002($1.86)-8%
4/26/2021FSRLong$14.18$13.2010%Closed4/27/2021$13.5601($0.62)-4%
4/26/2021NVAXLong$220.17$203.653%Closed4/27/2021$259.8201$39.6518%
4/26/2021NVAXLong$220.17$225.0010%Closed4/30/2021$242.5014$22.3310%
4/26/2021ROKULong$363.70$345.6510%Closed4/30/2021$345.6514($18.05)-5%
4/26/2021SNAPLong$60.09$57.005%Closed4/30/2021$62.1804$2.093%
4/23/2021AMCLong$10.20$9.272.50%Closed4/30/2021$10.0017($0.20)-2%
4/23/2021MOMOLong$14.96$14.482.50%Closed4/30/2021$14.4807($0.48)-3%
4/23/2021SNAPLong$59.93$57.005%Closed4/30/2021$62.1807$2.254%
4/23/2021UAVSLong$5.72$5.085%Closed4/30/2021$5.8617$0.142%
4/14/2021FUTULong$150.35$141.752.50%Closed4/15/2021$145.7811($4.57)-3%
4/14/2021GNRCLong$333.00$322.805%Closed4/15/2021$326.2301($6.77)-2%
4/14/2021TNALong$92.89$88.305%Closed4/15/2021$92.0501($0.84)-1%
4/13/2021OUTLong$22.73$21.832.50%Closed4/15/2021$23.2802$0.552%
4/6/2021CCIVLong$24.76$21.655%Closed4/8/2021$22.9212($1.84)-7%
4/6/2021SPCELong$30.75$27.905%Closed4/8/2021$28.6802($2.07)-7%
4/5/2021DNNLong$1.28$1.062.50%Closed4/12/2021$1.0607($0.22)-17%
4/5/2021GNRCLong$326.05$304.505%Closed4/12/2021$323.5207($2.53)-1%
4/5/2021MVISLong$15.51$12.905%Closed4/12/2021$13.6607($1.85)-12%
4/5/2021RIOTLong$56.94$48.005%Closed4/8/2021$48.0903($8.85)-16%
4/5/2021UAVSLong$7.12$5.955%Closed4/12/2021$6.1307($0.99)-14%
3/30/2021FUBOLong$22.04$20.552.50%Closed4/1/2021$23.4102$1.376%
3/30/2021FUBOLong$22.04$20.552.50%Closed4/8/2021$20.5519($1.49)-7%
3/30/2021NNDMLong$8.34$7.802.50%Closed4/8/2021$7.8009($0.54)-6%
3/17/2021MARALong$41.68$34.755%Closed3/22/2021$41.2005($0.48)-1%
3/17/2021NIOLong$44.63$40.905%Closed3/18/2021$41.7101($2.92)-7%
3/17/2021QSLong$59.76$53.8010%Closed3/18/2021$56.4001($3.36)-6%
3/17/2021SKLZLong$29.20$25.6010%Closed3/18/2021$26.1201($3.08)-11%
3/17/2021SNDLLong$1.56$1.285%Closed3/22/2021$1.3605($0.20)-13%
3/17/2021SPCELong$33.69$30.205%Closed3/18/2021$31.8701($1.82)-5%
3/12/2021ANGILong$16.03$15.107%Closed3/23/2021$16.41011$0.382%
3/10/2021COMMLong$15.29$14.302%Closed3/11/2021$16.7011$1.419%
3/10/2021COMMLong$15.29$15.003%Closed3/23/2021$15.14113($0.15)-1%
3/10/2021KOSSLong$29.65$21.002.50%Closed3/11/2021$25.5201($4.13)-14%
3/9/2021AILong$85.16$79.115%Closed3/18/2021$79.1109($6.05)-7%
3/9/2021CCIVLong$24.22$20.805%Closed3/12/2021$27.2003$2.9812%
3/9/2021GNUSLong$1.84$1.845%Closed3/26/2021$2.53117$0.6938%
3/9/2021RKTLong$25.89$24.105%Closed3/18/2021$24.1019($1.79)-7%
3/9/2021SOSLong$6.30$5.8010%Closed3/22/2021$7.26013$0.9615%
3/8/2021BBBYLong$30.93$28.005%Closed3/10/2021$30.0512($0.88)-3%
3/8/2021OSTKLong$60.48$53.655%Closed3/10/2021$68.5802$8.1013%
3/8/2021WLong$306.79$292.0010%Closed3/23/2021$339.04115$32.2511%
3/3/2021MACLong$13.70$13.005%Closed3/4/2021$13.2211($0.48)-4%
Many of the indicators are really a waste of money compared to what Mobius did.
 
Many of the indicators are really a waste of money compared to what Mobius did.
Mobius indicators are impressive. I've played with a lot of his other indicators in the past. I haven't tested whether they are profitable. I use his RSI-Divergence indicator which is just standard RSI with a divergence detection built in.

The problem with the Moxie Mastery subscription wasn't the indicator. It's just a different visual style of MACD's histogram of a higher timeframe. I find it is more readable as a line, which is Moxie's style, because it's easier to see divergences. The problem is TG is a long-only trader (he called one short trade in 3 months) and after nearly a year of easy-mode swings he kept going long on down trending stocks.
 
Mobius indicators are impressive. I've played with a lot of his other indicators in the past. I haven't tested whether they are profitable. I use his RSI-Divergence indicator which is just standard RSI with a divergence detection built in.

The problem with the Moxie Mastery subscription wasn't the indicator. It's just a different visual style of MACD's histogram of a higher timeframe. I find it is more readable as a line, which is Moxie's style, because it's easier to see divergences. The problem is TG is a long-only trader (he called one short trade in 3 months) and after nearly a year of easy-mode swings he kept going long on down trending stocks.
I think it is not being taught enough to attend to structure first, then trend and support/resistance. Most of the indicators sold can be found free here and the classes suffer from the drive to make money from it. A simpler chart is better when you can view the "structure" easily. And study charts before and after, why did work and why did not.
 
I actually built the squeeze pro dots into the Moxie indicator's zero line if you turn on that option. If you're making money from it then it was money well spent. Who cares about $400 in comparison.

I've been curious about the early in/out. I can make some guesses at how it might work but I don't know and I haven't tried to reverse engineer that from videos on YouTube. Do you find the signals are mostly good? That may be worth what you paid.

The squeeze stats look interesting, not really useful, to satisfy curiosity for the first couple of days and then I doubt I'd ever look at it again.

Scans are easy for me to create but for people less technically able it could be a valuable part of the package.
Early in and out is not very useful.
 

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