Know your levels planning for next week!Would love to see how you trade this?
Know your levels planning for next week!Would love to see how you trade this?
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From the previous attached screenshot I see:Would love to see how you trade this?
Where is this study @antwerks?Know your levels planning for next week!
I am still in the testing stages of it, but I can give you a rundown of what it is going to be doing:Where is this study @antwerks?
| Value | Meaning | What It Tells You |
|---|---|---|
| < 0.80 | Suppressed | Premium cheap, controlled market |
| ≈ 1.00 | Normal | Fair value |
| > 1.20 | Stressed | Premium expensive, fear elevated |
| Value | Meaning | What It Tells You |
|---|---|---|
| < 0.8 | Low | Grind / pin risk |
| 0.8–1.0 | Moderate | Balanced |
| > 1.0 | High | Expansion / breakout |
| Price vs Flip | Market Behavior |
|---|---|
| Above Flip | Positive Gamma → Mean Reversion |
| Below Flip | Negative Gamma → Expansion Risk |
I am still in the testing stages of it, but I can give you a rundown of what it is going to be doing:
VR VOL REGIME ENGINE- (How to Read It in 60 Seconds)
This tool answers one question, What kind of market are we in right now — Fade, Break, Trend, or Chop?
It uses three inputs:
DISTORTION (Premium State)
- Distortion (premium cheap or expensive?)
- Efficiency (is price actually moving?)
- Gamma (are dealers dampening or accelerating moves?)
Distortion = Straddle Price ÷ IV-Implied Move
Value Meaning What It Tells You < 0.80 Suppressed Premium cheap, controlled market ≈ 1.00 Normal Fair value > 1.20 Stressed Premium expensive, fear elevated
Think of this as “Are options underpriced or overpriced?”
EFFICIENCY (Is Price Delivering?)
Efficiency = Realized Move ÷ Straddle Cost
Value Meaning What It Tells You < 0.8 Low Grind / pin risk 0.8–1.0 Moderate Balanced > 1.0 High Expansion / breakout
Think of this as “Is price actually moving enough to justify the premium?”
GAMMA (Structure Control)
Price vs Flip Market Behavior Above Flip Positive Gamma → Mean Reversion Below Flip Negative Gamma → Expansion Risk
Think of this as “Are dealers stabilizing the move or accelerating it?”
EXECUTION MODES (What To Do)
This script combines all three and outputs:
FADE MODE - Sell edges / Buy dips / Sell rips
Occurs when:
Environment:
- Positive Gamma
- Suppressed Distortion
- Low Efficiency
BREAK MODE - Trade acceptance / breakout
- Grind
- Range-bound
- Pin risk
Occurs when:
Environment:
- Negative Gamma
- Suppressed Distortion
- Efficiency rising
TREND MODE - Ride pullbacks
- Expansion risk
- Level breaks can run
Occurs when:
Environment:
- Negative Gamma
- Stressed Distortion
- Efficiency > 1.0
VOL FADE MODE- Fade volatility itself
- Strong continuation
- Pullbacks are entries
Occurs when:
Environment:
- Distortion stressed
- Efficiency weak
Arrows
- Fear overpriced
- Premium rich
Arrows mean the environment just changed. Not “buy here.”
It means:
ALIGNMENT LABEL
- Adjust size
- Adjust expectations
- Reassess structure
If you see "EXECUTION MODE AGREES WITH STRUCTURE"
That means:
All point the same direction. This is when size can increase.
- Gamma
- Distortion
- Efficiency
If it says "MODE CONFLICT"
That means:
How To Use It Properly
- Mixed signals
- Reduce size
- Wait for clarity
This is NOT:
This IS:
- A candle entry system
- A timing tool
- A signal generator
You still use for validations:
- A regime classifier
- A risk allocation filter
- A position-sizing guide
But this tells you:
- VWAP
- Levels
- Structure
- Order flow
- Anchored VWAP
Should I be fading?
Should I be breaking?
Should I be riding?
Or should I wait?
The Entire System in Quick View
Suppressed + Positive Gamma = Fade (Volatility is cheap, price isn’t moving efficiently, and dealer hedging absorbs momentum. Action Bias: Sell rips. Buy dips. Target reversion.)
Suppressed + Negative Gamma = Break Risk (Premium is cheap, structure is unstable, and a break can run. Action Bias: Trade acceptance beyond levels. Do not fade first breaks.)
Stressed + High Efficiency + Negative Gamma = Trend (Price is delivering more than expected, and dealers must chase. Action Bias: Ride pullbacks. Avoid countertrend fades.)
Stressed + Low Efficiency = Vol Fade - (Premium is rich, but price isn’t moving enough to justify it. Action Bias: Fade volatility itself (short premium, fade extremes).)
ALSO just a tip on using RSP, If SPX is weak but RSP is holding up
That usually means:
If SPX is strong but RSP lags
- the “average stock” is fine,
- weakness is concentrated in a few heavyweight names,
- pullbacks are more buyable (breadth isn’t breaking).
That usually means:
My bottom line
- leadership is narrow (mega-caps doing all the work),
- rallies are more fragile,
- risk of a sudden air-pocket increases if leaders roll over.
Right now, the structure looks better in RSP than in SPX/SPY, which is a positive breadth signal, it suggests the market isn’t being held up by just a handful of big names. So when the two diverge, it’s a breadth signal: are leaders dragging the index up while most stocks lag (SPX > RSP), or are many stocks participating (RSP strong)?
As sectors rotate it's good to have this in your pocket.
I really appreciate you sharing that — and honestly, what you described is very common with 0DTE SPX.I used to rely on the expected move to sell 0DTE credit spreads on SPX. Sometimes it worked, but most of the time it didn’t. Whatever I earned would get wiped out in one big move, sometimes even my capital.
SPX would often move beyond the expected range and close above or below it, wiping out all gains and capital (once in a week).
I don’t have time to monitor trades minute by minute, nor can I actively manage them. So I’m looking for lower-management trades. I may continue selling credit spreads, but I’m also open to buying debit spreads if the risk-reward setup is favorable.
I tried using GEX, but I couldn’t make it work consistently in my favor.
For now, I’ve paused trading 0DTE SPX. However, after reading your study, I’m looking forward to developing a more solid framework, one where I take a trade, set a stop loss, and review it at the end of the day. Two possible outcomes: either a loss or a win. I like that SPX is cash-settled.
How do you trade this?Ideas for Friday
TRADE IDEAS for week of February 20th
TSLA 2/20 425C | ACT AT 424, TARGET 434 STOP LOSS 400
MU 2/20 425C | ACT AT 424, TARGET 436 SL 400
SPX 2/18 6900C at 6870 | TARGETS 6900, 6921 SL 6851
SPX 2/18 6750P at 6800 | TARGETS 6765, 6720 SL 6824
If you took the call then yes you would have been SL out - you would not have followed the other trade that was an either or.How do you trade this?
According to this SPX hit the stop loss 6851 right, now it is 6841. So you enter put because today’s low was 6775?
I would like to try this out. Can you please share the workspace/chart or call out the indicators names.From the previous attached screenshot I see:
• Price ~ 6836
• Gamma flip ~ 6929
• Distortion ~ 0.83 (near normal, slightly suppressed)
• Efficiency ~ 0.00 (basically no realized expansion yet this week)
• Gamma state: negative (below flip)
• Large OI clusters: 6900, 6950 above / 6800, 6750 below
So here’s how I’d think about a 6900–6910 push idea I see from Bulls.
Structural Read
We are:
• Below gamma flip → negative gamma regime
• Distortion ~ 0.83 → options not overpriced
• Efficiency ~ 0 → move hasn’t happened yet
That combination means negative gamma + suppressed-to-normal vol + low realized movement
= stored energy. That does allow for expansion.
BUT.
Below flip = dealers will hedge in direction of move.
So IF upside gets going, it can accelerate.
If downside gets going, it can accelerate too.
This is not a fade environment.
This is a break environment.
What Needs To Happen For 6900–6910?
For a push toward 6900 We need:
• Acceptance back above 6865–6880
• Efficiency rising (price actually expanding relative to straddle)
• Distortion starting to climb toward 1.0
If distortion stays suppressed while price grinds up slowly?
That becomes dealer control grind → harder to reach flip.
If distortion rises above 1.0 while below flip?
That’s expansion in negative gamma → acceleration probability increases.
The Real Pivot Is 6929 (Flip)
6900–6910 is important because:
• It’s heavy OI
• It’s near gamma flip
But the actual structural change is not 6900.
It’s acceptance above 6929.
Below flip = breakouts extend
Above flip = moves get dampened
So if price approaches 6900–6910 next week there are two plays.
How I’d Play It
Scenario A – Early Expansion Toward 6900
Conditions:
• Distortion rising
• Efficiency rising
• Acceptance above 6880
Play:
• Long pullbacks
• Target 6900
• Trail aggressively into 6910–6930
Because near flip, behavior changes.
Scenario B – Slow Grind Toward 6900
Conditions:
• Distortion stays < 0.9
• Efficiency moderate
• No impulsive candles
Play:
• Sell put spreads below 6800
• Or sell call spreads into 6900 if rejection appears
Because suppressed vol + approaching wall = stall probability.
Scenario C – Acceptance Above 6930
If price accepts above flip, Gamma turns positive.
Then:
Execution mode becomes FADE.
You sell rips above 6950.
You buy dips back toward flip.
That’s the structural shift that @merryDay plays.
Right now the chart says:
Negative gamma + low efficiency + near-normal distortion
= energy stored.
So yes — a push toward 6900 is plausible.
But the trade is not “bet 6900”.
The trade is:
Trade expansion while below flip.
Switch to fade once above flip.
If This Were My Book- how I would play it-
Below 6850:
I would not press longs.
Above 6880 with rising distortion:
I’d lean long into 6900.
At 6900–6930:
I’d reduce size and watch for flip behavior.
Above 6930 acceptance:
I shift to fade mode.
Here is the latest - built for SPX @AlwaysLearningI would like to try this out. Can you please share the workspace/chart or call out the indicators names.
# ============================================
# STRUCTURAL REGIME ENGINE (SRE)
# Clean Modular Rebuild
# antwerks 03/01/2026
# ============================================
declare lower;
# ---------- INPUTS ----------
input gammaFlipLevel = 6929.28;
input atrShortLen = 5;
input atrLongLen = 20;
input ivLookback = 5;
input efficiencyLen = 14;
input upperThreshold = 1.20;
input neutralLevel = 1.00;
input lowerThreshold = 0.80;
# ---------- PRICE ----------
def price = close;
# ============================================
# MODULE A — GAMMA STATE
# ============================================
def gammaDistance = AbsValue(price - gammaFlipLevel);
def gammaState =
if price > gammaFlipLevel then 1
else -1;
def gammaScore =
if gammaState < 0 then 1.1
else 0.9;
# ============================================
# MODULE B — VOL DISTORTION
# ============================================
def atrShort = ATR(atrShortLen);
def atrLong = ATR(atrLongLen);
def volExpansion =
if atrLong != 0 then atrShort / atrLong else 1;
def volScore =
if volExpansion > 1 then 1.1
else 0.9;
# ============================================
# MODULE C — VOL OF VOL PRESSURE
# ============================================
def atrChange = atrShort - atrShort[1];
def vov = StDev(atrChange, atrShortLen);
def vovScore =
if vov > Average(vov, atrShortLen) then 1.1
else 0.9;
# ============================================
# MODULE D — EFFICIENCY FILTER
# ============================================
def efficiency =
AbsValue(price - price[efficiencyLen]) /
Sum(AbsValue(price - price[1]), efficiencyLen);
def efficiencyScore =
if efficiency < 0.4 then 1.1
else 0.9;
# ============================================
# COMPOSITE RAW SCORE
# ============================================
def rawScore =
(gammaScore +
volScore +
vovScore +
efficiencyScore) / 4;
# ============================================
# DISCRETE REGIME STEP
# ============================================
def regime =
if rawScore >= 1.05 then upperThreshold
else if rawScore <= 0.95 then lowerThreshold
else neutralLevel;
plot StructuralRegime = regime;
StructuralRegime.SetLineWeight(3);
plot UpperLine = upperThreshold;
UpperLine.SetDefaultColor(Color.MAGENTA);
plot NeutralLine = neutralLevel;
NeutralLine.SetDefaultColor(Color.GRAY);
plot LowerLine = lowerThreshold;
LowerLine.SetDefaultColor(Color.CYAN);
# ============================================
# LABELS
# ============================================
AddLabel(yes,
"Gamma: " + (if gammaState > 0 then "POSITIVE" else "NEGATIVE")
+ " | VolExp: " + Round(volExpansion,2)
+ " | Eff: " + Round(efficiency,2),
if regime == upperThreshold then Color.RED
else if regime == lowerThreshold then Color.GREEN
else Color.ORANGE
);
BrooklinMintCapitalNo problem, the best thing to do is search how and what Theta, Vega, Charm, GEX, VEX, VOX and DEX are and how they effect price movement. Each one does different things. There are plenty of articles and video references online that can give you the detailed explanation. Start with YouTube.
My Dynamic Price Flow script follows price. I trade it on a tick chart (2days 1333T) instead of a time chart (1min, 5min, 10min ect). I watch for crosses of the call and put lines and or crosses with the yellow price line. When the call and put line is at the grey zero line they dont like to stay there long and a reversal/pullback should be anticipated. Tick chart movement of the lines is faster that time charts from what I observed, so you can see reversals/pullbacks, if any, faster than having it on a time chart.
@mii
place this at the bottom of the script, have not tested it but it should work........BrooklinMintCapital
I have been following your Dynamic Price Flow script, is there a way to get an alert when either the put line or call line hits the grey zero line?
Thanks again for sharing @BrooklynMintCapital
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